About The WNBA King

What you get

The WNBA King projects every WNBA player prop — points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals, blocks and combos — and shows that projection against the posted line and the de-vigged market price, hit rates and the matchup context behind it. Around it: interactive shot charts, possession-level lineups and on/off, advanced player profiles, matchups, standings, scores, box scores and a published closing-line-value board.

How to read it

• Lean — the side our projection sits on. A description of the projection, not a recommendation.
• Fair % — the market's own probability with the vig removed. This is the market's number, not ours.
• Price improvement vs median — how much cheaper the same bet is at the best book than at the median one, in implied-probability points (1/median − 1/best). Two real posted prices compared to each other.
• ⚠ — marks a prop we've flagged as unreliable (single-book or anomalous line) — skip it.
• Why we no longer publish an edge, an EV or a grade — we graded 4,201 WNBA props against the closing market. Our model neither beat the close nor cleared the break-even a play needs: the rows we liked most came in at 44–46% against a 57.74% hurdle. Publishing an edge number would be asserting something the data does not support, so the site shows projections, lines and prices instead.
• Line shopping — click any board row to compare every sportsbook and grab the best number.

The track record

Every pick is logged before tip and graded after the game — win or lose. What we publish from that ledger is closing-line value: how often our number beat the closing market, with the calibration curve next to it. We do not publish a record or an ROI, because the model has not earned the right to — see “Why we no longer publish an edge, an EV or a grade” above. Read the CLV board small-sample-aware while it builds. Beating the close over the long run is the only honest test, and we hold ourselves to it in public.

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